Holdem Preflop Odds
Posted : admin On 4/11/2022On this site you can find all possible combinations of preflop hands that can occur in Texas Hold'em Poker. As a bonus you will also learn the nicknames of the different hands. The hands are ranked from #1 to #169, where #1 is the best. This ranking is applicable when the poker table is full ring (9-10 people). The exact probability of being dealt the nuts is 938420, roughly 0.980%. Results are exact to three significant figures, and are independent of the number of players.
Betting before the flop can sometimes be a blind bet, because when the flop comes things can change drastically. What can seem like a clear advantage can turn into a trap when the Turn or River or Flop cards hit the poker games.
To calculate with which hand you have better chance against other hands, we have assembled the most common grouping of hands against other hands along with their chances of winning (all the way to the River).
Same Hand – ex. QJ vs. QJ
Can you guess the odds? That's right, 50%-50%. If it's suited vs. offsuit, the suited has the edge of course, a 2.5% advantage.
Pocket Pair vs. Two Overcards – ex. 99 vs. KQ
This is a close call. The pocket pair has a small advantage with 55 % to the two overcards' 45%. In the case of having a hand like QJ-suited the advantage is with this hand over a hand with a small pocket pair (55 or lower), because with the QJ you can still form a Straight without having the pair lower your chances of achieving it.
Pocket Pair vs. Smaller Pocket Pair – ex. AA vs. 88
The bigger pair has the advantage here, of course, with 80% to the lower pair's 20%.
Pocket Pair vs. Two Undercards – ex. KK vs. J9
Texas Holdem Preflop Odds Chart
The pair is the favorite with 80% to 20%. The two undercards have a chance of between 23% and 14%, depending on if they are suited and if the pocket interferes with their straight making ability or not.
Pocket Pair vs. Same Card & One Undercard – ex. KK vs. KQ
This can be a shifty situation. The Pocket Pair has the upper hand here (no pun intended) with about 85% to 15%, while in case the other pair is suited the odds change to 80% to 20% at best.
Pocket Pair vs. Same Card & One Overcard – ex. QQ vs. AQ
The advantage here is on the side of the pair with between 70% to 30% and 65% to 35%.
Pocket Pair vs. One Undercard & One Overcard – ex. JJ vs. KT
The odds here are similar to those of the hands above, with 70% to 30% in favor of the pair.
Two Undercards vs. Two Overcards – ex. AK vs. QJ
While the advantage here is clearly with the overcards – 65% to 35%, the odds change when the undercards are far enough from the overcards and suited without matching the overcards' suit, to around 60% to 40%.
Two Middle Cards vs. Undercard & Overcard – ex. KT vs. QJ
In this case, the edge is with the over/under cards. 60% to 40% which can be reduced to around 52% to 48% if it involves middle-suited connectors that are not of the same suit as the over/under cards and if there is no straight making interference.
Dominated with the Same High Card – ex. QJ vs. QT
The hand with the higher card has a big advantage with around 66.6% to 33.3%. This advantage starts to diminish as the kickers get lower due to split pot possibilities.
Dominated with the Same Low Card – ex. AQ vs. KQ
The hand with the higher card has a 66% advantage, while if it's a suited connector against unsuited cards that has a small chance of making a straight the higher kicker hand has a maximum advantage of 40%.
Our common flop odds chart shows the exact odds of flopping specific hand or draw types with various hole card groupings in Texas Holdem.
Texas Holdem Preflop Odds Chart
Remember that every mistake you make preflop will only be magnified on later streets. The chart below clearly shows that playing weak hole cards (for example three gapped connectors) will rarely give you the best hand on the flop.
This is why you should play only a narrow range of the best hole cards and fold everything else. It is especially important when you are a beginner. The more weak hands you play, the more money you will lose in the long term.
Common flop odds chart
Hole Cards | Flopping | Odds |
Unpaired Hole Cards | exactly one pair by pairing a hole card | 26.939% |
exactly two pair by pairing a hole card and pairing on the board | 2.02% | |
exactly two pair by pairing each of your hole cards | 2.02% | |
exactly trips by flopping two cards to a hole card | 1.347% | |
exactly a full house, trips of one hole card and pairing the other | 0.092% | |
exactly four of a kind, three cards to one of your hole cards | 0.01% | |
Paired Hole Cards | exactly two pair by pairing the board | 16.163% |
exactly trips by flopping a set for your pocket pair | 10.775% | |
exactly a full house, a set to your hole pair and pairing the board | 0.735% | |
exactly a full house, by the board tripping up | 0.245% | |
exactly four of a kind, two cards to your hole pair | 0.245% | |
Two Unsuited Cards | a flush draw | 2.245% |
Two Suited Cards | a flush (including straight flush) | 0.842% |
a flush draw | 10.944% | |
Connectors (54 to JT) | a straight (including straight flush) | 1.306% |
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots) | 10.449% | |
One Gapped Connectors (53 to QT) | a straight (including straight flush) | 0.98% |
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots) | 8.08% | |
Two Gapped Connectors (52 to KT) | a straight (including straight flush) | 0.653% |
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots) | 5.224% | |
Three Gapped Connectors (A5 to AT) | a straight (including straight flush) | 0.327% |
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots) | 2.612% |
More articles on poker probability:
Poker odds calculator
Poker outs and odds
Pot odds and expected value
Sklansky bucks
Implied odds
Reverse implied odds
Poker hand probability chart
Common flop odds chart
Pocket pairs - flopping overcards odds
Texas Holdem Preflop Odds Calculator
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